Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.018891 0.020374 0.021918 0.023646 0.025527 0.027515 0.029776
2025-11-02 0.016422 0.018550 0.020881 0.023630 0.026788 0.030311 0.034549
2025-11-09 0.014558 0.017011 0.019802 0.023222 0.027315 0.032072 0.038046
2025-11-16 0.013158 0.015800 0.018896 0.022811 0.027654 0.033476 0.041054
2025-11-23 0.012205 0.015001 0.018365 0.022736 0.028299 0.035191 0.044448
2025-11-30 0.011366 0.014257 0.017817 0.022554 0.028739 0.036608 0.047479
2025-12-07 0.010674 0.013639 0.017365 0.022431 0.029204 0.038031 0.050550
2025-12-14 0.010046 0.013052 0.016903 0.022244 0.029539 0.039262 0.053390
2025-12-21 0.009582 0.012647 0.016644 0.022293 0.030166 0.040890 0.056837
2025-12-28 0.009103 0.012191 0.016283 0.022168 0.030528 0.042144 0.059799
2026-01-04 0.008705 0.011819 0.016009 0.022138 0.031003 0.043558 0.063047
2026-01-11 0.008367 0.011510 0.015802 0.022181 0.031569 0.045114 0.066572
2026-01-18 0.008004 0.011160 0.015539 0.022156 0.032073 0.046664 0.070283
2026-01-25 0.007662 0.010827 0.015285 0.022130 0.032577 0.048246 0.074157
2026-02-01 0.007245 0.010362 0.014812 0.021750 0.032513 0.048947 0.076667
2026-02-08 0.006860 0.009924 0.014358 0.021367 0.032416 0.049575 0.079074
2026-02-15 0.006589 0.009643 0.014118 0.021297 0.032794 0.050960 0.082802
2026-02-22 0.006312 0.009338 0.013828 0.021128 0.032997 0.052062 0.086106
2026-03-01 0.006068 0.009071 0.013582 0.021014 0.033277 0.053294 0.089695
2026-03-08 0.005826 0.008796 0.013310 0.020840 0.033442 0.054334 0.092999
2026-03-15 0.005650 0.008617 0.013178 0.020885 0.033970 0.056006 0.097530
2026-03-22 0.005448 0.008389 0.012957 0.020770 0.034214 0.057195 0.101245
2026-03-29 0.005278 0.008202 0.012794 0.020741 0.034602 0.058650 0.105536